Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.023551 0.027435 0.031720 0.036789 0.042618 0.049104 0.056864
2025-10-26 0.017233 0.022140 0.028058 0.035698 0.045277 0.056864 0.071919
2025-11-02 0.012937 0.018110 0.024855 0.034245 0.046923 0.063385 0.086309
2025-11-09 0.010105 0.015269 0.022483 0.033213 0.048668 0.070001 0.101532
2025-11-16 0.008298 0.013426 0.021044 0.033059 0.051372 0.078037 0.119538
2025-11-23 0.006755 0.011643 0.019329 0.032117 0.052643 0.084005 0.135139
2025-11-30 0.006035 0.011004 0.019219 0.033549 0.057611 0.095953 0.161036
2025-12-07 0.005201 0.010008 0.018344 0.033554 0.060205 0.104382 0.182248
2025-12-14 0.004354 0.008828 0.016954 0.032434 0.060689 0.109317 0.198147
2025-12-21 0.003770 0.008027 0.016100 0.032105 0.062440 0.116483 0.218491
2025-12-28 0.003531 0.007853 0.016370 0.033869 0.068157 0.131131 0.253459
2026-01-04 0.003239 0.007520 0.016278 0.034904 0.072598 0.143885 0.286244
2026-01-11 0.002776 0.006751 0.015218 0.033908 0.073057 0.149452 0.306558
2026-01-18 0.002438 0.006198 0.014524 0.033564 0.074777 0.157614 0.332754
2026-01-25 0.002095 0.005569 0.013567 0.032515 0.074889 0.162596 0.353178
2026-02-01 0.001817 0.005047 0.012767 0.031689 0.075352 0.168301 0.375623
2026-02-08 0.001626 0.004705 0.012327 0.031618 0.077452 0.177600 0.406456
2026-02-15 0.001416 0.004271 0.011598 0.030753 0.077624 0.182767 0.428953
2026-02-22 0.001346 0.004209 0.011785 0.032146 0.083237 0.200430 0.480538
2026-03-01 0.001217 0.003956 0.011443 0.032160 0.085536 0.210871 0.516971
2026-03-08 0.001059 0.003583 0.010723 0.031090 0.085027 0.214789 0.538858
2026-03-15 0.000950 0.003337 0.010310 0.030775 0.086381 0.223210 0.572069
2026-03-22 0.000922 0.003345 0.010616 0.032471 0.093146 0.245292 0.639965